Home Foreclosure Expert Predicts Jump in Home Sales in 2009

The national foreclosure crisis may finally be simmering , but remember, from 84,534 REO properties in October to 84,291 in November, according to the 2009 outlook from ForeclosureS.com, released Tuesday. While the decline is largely likely an artifact of a growing push to halt pending foreclosures while mortgage lenders and government officials search for solutions to the nation’s housing crisis, Alexis McGee, president at the online foreclosure investing resource says that she sees a significant decline in foreclosures as buyers return in 2009, pushing home prices up and fueling a real estate recovery.  “Recovery is underway. Affordability is back in the housing market,” says McGee. “In 2009, housing will not only recover, but we’ll see buyers leap into this market in droves, depleting our housing oversupply, and actually put higher price pressures on the market.” 

Foreclosure news continues to shine a light on the millions of homeowners that are delinquent on their first and second mortgages.  If many of these distressed borrowers can negotiate affordable loan modifications and the foreclosure prevention preform, then Mr. McGee may be correct.  That’s a pretty optimistic take, and one that stands in stark contrast to most assessments, given that well-known and respected economists including Mark Zandi at Moody’s Economy.com have suggested that the nation’s housing markets won’t be likely to see a bottom until late next year.  McGee has been preaching a brighter future for the housing market for well over a year, suggesting that investors start buying foreclosures; a cynic might suggest, of course, that she has strong self-interest in doing so.

In June of 2007, she said “the overall economy is sound, and markets will turn around,” in arguing that investors start to buy foreclosed properties. In February of this year, she suggested that investors shouldn’t “be scared off by the gloom and doom talk swirling around housing markets,” and should buy properties that were, in her eyes, on sale.

Obviously, most investors that bought in February have likely seen their investments lose money, given most regional and national home price trends this year. And as recently as November, McGee was suggesting that a drop in pre-foreclosure notices signaled a real estate bottom, rather than the more likely seasonal effect the trend has since been proven to be.

But regardless of a market that seems stubbornly unwilling to follow her predictions, McGee maintains that now is a great time for investors to buy. Low mortgage rates and the ability to rent out properties for positive cash flow, she says, are strong reasons to invest; of course, she also touts that investors will be able to sell their investments in late 2009 at a large profit.

Which is exactly, in our opinion, what the housing market doesn’t need right now: a swarm of investors with short-term horizons, looking to put properties on the market in late 2009, when most economists are suggesting a more organic bottom for the housing markets.  Read the complete foreclosure article>

Tags: , ,

Leave a Reply